Maardu vs Tartu Welco: result 5-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on March 2, 2018 at 06:30 PM (UTC)EJL Jalgpallihall, Tallinn
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What was the result of Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Maardu won 5-1 on March 2, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 40′Vitali GussevMaardu
- 42′Ilja ZelentsovMaardu
- 49′Mikk ValtnaTartu Welco
- 51′V. OgorodnikMaardu
- 62′Vitali GussevMaardu
- 90′Deniss MalovMaardu (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maardu have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tartu Welco have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Kuressaare(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 14, 2017 | FCI Tallinn II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 28, 2017 | Tartu Welco(home) | 4-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Flora II(home) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 26, 2017 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 28, 2017 | Maardu(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Maardu win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2017 | Maardu 4-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 9, 2017 | Tartu Welco 0-5 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| May 4, 2017 | Tartu Welco 1-1 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| May 1, 2017 | Maardu 5-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Maardu vs Tartu Welco on Sep 28, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Maardu score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 1.1 and concede 3.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maardu | 2.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 1.1 | 3.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maardu sit 8th in Esiliiga A (16 points from 15 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 7 | Maardu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 51 | 32 |
| 8 | Maardu | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy