Maardu vs Tartu Welco: result 5-1 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on May 1, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maardu kunstmuruväljak, Maardu
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What was the result of Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Maardu won 5-1 on May 1, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 3′147681Tartu Welco (pen.)
- 25′Vitali GussevMaardu
- 29′Vitali GussevMaardu
- 62′Vitali GussevMaardu
- 71′Anton AristovMaardu
- 90′Vitali GussevMaardu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maardu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tartu Welco have 1, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2017 | FCI Tallinn II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Rakvere Tarvas(away) | 4-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Kuressaare(home) | 5-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Tartu Santos(away) | 4-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Elva(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2017 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 1-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 23, 2017 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Flora II(home) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 9, 2017 | FCI Tallinn II(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Rakvere Tarvas(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Maardu score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 0.8 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maardu | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maardu sit 8th in Esiliiga A (16 points from 15 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 7 | Maardu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 51 | 32 |
| 8 | Maardu | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy