Macaé vs Friburguense: result 1-0 and analysis
Carioca - 1Preliminary Round - 3Kick-off on January 4, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Macaé vs Friburguense?
Macaé won 1-0 on January 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 81′Matheus BabiMacaé (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macaé have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Friburguense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Nova Iguaçu(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Dec 22, 2019 | América RJ(away) | 1-3 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Novorizontino(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| May 27, 2018 | Itumbiara(home) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Portuguesa RJ(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Nova Iguaçu(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | América RJ(away) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | América RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Macaé score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Friburguense score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Friburguense | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy