Machete vs Vinicunca: prediction and stats
Copa PerúRound of 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Machete the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Vinicunca. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Machete vs Vinicunca?
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Machete vs Vinicunca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Machete
Not enough data to predict the Machete lineup.
Vinicunca
Not enough data to predict the Vinicunca lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 04:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Machete have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Vinicunca have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Patibamba(away) | 2-2 | Copa Perú |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Patibamba(home) | 3-2 | Copa Perú |
| Oct 5, 2025 | CDC Hacienda San Agustín(away) | 2-3 | Copa Perú |
| Sep 28, 2025 | CDC Hacienda San Agustín(home) | 4-2 | Copa Perú |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Dinamo de Solabaya(home) | 3-1 | Copa Perú |
A question about Machete vs Vinicunca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Machete vs Vinicunca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Machete the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Vinicunca.
- Where and when is Machete vs Vinicunca played?
- Machete vs Vinicunca is played on November 8, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC), in the Copa Perú.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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