Magesi vs Lerumo Lions: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Pietersburg
The Footlab model makes Magesi the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Lerumo Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magesi vs Lerumo Lions?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Magesi (1,685) and Lerumo Lions (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magesi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lerumo Lions have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Cape Town City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Black Leopards(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Magesi score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lerumo Lions score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magesi | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Lerumo Lions | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magesi sit 5th in 1st Division (3 points from 1 matches) and Lerumo Lions sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magesi vs Lerumo Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Magesi the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Lerumo Lions.
- Where and when is Magesi vs Lerumo Lions played?
- Magesi vs Lerumo Lions is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.