Maharlika vs Manila Digger: prediction and stats
PFLGroup StageKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Maharlika. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
Manila Digger is a heavy favourite: 1,763 Elo points against 1,387, a 376-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maharlika vs Manila Digger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maharlika
Not enough data to predict the Maharlika lineup.
Manila Digger
4-3-3- 11B. Touray
- 5D. Tafem
- 10S. Ceesay
- 4A. Badjie
- 17D. De Bruycker
- 24D. Vasquez
- 20M. Joof
- 22Z. Taningco
- 23D. Sambou
- 26K. Pryde
- 16O. Njie
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maharlika have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Manila Digger have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Davao Aguilas(home) | 2-2 | PFL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Philippine Army(home) | 5-0 | PFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Stallion(away) | 2-0 | PFL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Azkals(away) | 0-2 | PFL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 1-0 | PFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Shan United(home) | 4-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Hang Yuen(away) | 1-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kasuka(home) | 5-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kaya(away) | 1-0 | PFL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 2-0 | PFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maharlika win, 1 draw, 4 Manila Digger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Maharlika 0-6 Manila Digger | PFL |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Manila Digger 3-2 Maharlika | PFL |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Manila Digger 0-1 Maharlika | PFL |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Maharlika 1-5 Manila Digger | PFL |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Manila Digger 2-1 Maharlika | PFL |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Maharlika 1-1 Manila Digger | Copa Paulino Alcantara |
Last archived meeting: Maharlika vs Manila Digger on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maharlika score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Manila Digger score 2.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maharlika | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Manila Digger | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maharlika sit 1st in PFL (39 points from 24 matches) and Manila Digger sit 1st (63 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MaharlikaPhilippines Football League, Classification Round | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 42 | 39 |
| 1 | Manila DiggerPhilippines Football League, Championship Round | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 114 | 18 | 63 |
A question about Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maharlika vs Manila Digger?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Maharlika.
- Where and when is Maharlika vs Manila Digger played?
- Maharlika vs Manila Digger is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the PFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.