Makedonikos Neapolis vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou, Thessaloníki
The Footlab model makes Poseidon Nea Michaniona the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Makedonikos Neapolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Makedonikos Neapolis vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona?
Poseidon Nea Michaniona starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,606 vs 1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Makedonikos Neapolis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Poseidon Nea Michaniona have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | PAOK II(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-5 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 4-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-6 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Makedonikos Neapolis win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Poseidon Nea Michaniona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona 0-0 Makedonikos Neapolis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Makedonikos Neapolis 1-0 Poseidon Nea Michaniona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona 2-1 Makedonikos Neapolis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Makedonikos Neapolis 0-0 Poseidon Nea Michaniona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona 0-3 Makedonikos Neapolis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Poseidon Nea Michaniona vs Makedonikos Neapolis on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Makedonikos Neapolis score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Poseidon Nea Michaniona score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makedonikos Neapolis | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Poseidon Nea Michaniona | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Makedonikos Neapolis vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona?
- The Footlab model makes Poseidon Nea Michaniona the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Makedonikos Neapolis.
- Where and when is Makedonikos Neapolis vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona played?
- Makedonikos Neapolis vs Poseidon Nea Michaniona is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.