Malacateco vs Guastatoya: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 11Kick-off on October 8, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, Malacatán
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What was the result of Malacateco vs Guastatoya?
Malacateco won 3-1 on October 8, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 16′C. EstradaMalacateco
- 31′Anderson MorenoMalacateco
- 49′T. CastilloGuastatoya
- 53′C. RodríguezMalacateco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malacateco have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Guastatoya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2014 | Coatepeque(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Antigua GFC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Halcones(away) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Universidad San Carlos(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2014 | Antigua GFC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Xelajú(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Comunicaciones(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Marquense(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Malacateco score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guastatoya score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Guastatoya | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malacateco sit 10th in Liga Nacional (22 points from 22 matches) and Guastatoya sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 31 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy