Maldon & Tiptree vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Leatherhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Leatherhead?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Maldon & Tiptree (1,868) and Leatherhead (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Maldon & Tiptree win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leatherhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead 1-4 Maldon & Tiptree | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Leatherhead vs Maldon & Tiptree on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maldon & Tiptree | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Maldon & Tiptree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Leatherhead?
- The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Leatherhead.
- Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Leatherhead played?
- Maldon & Tiptree vs Leatherhead is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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