Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Malut United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Malut United (1,765) and Persebaya Surabaya (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malut United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Persebaya Surabaya have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 1-7 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persita(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 5-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Malut United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Persebaya Surabaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Malut United 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 Malut United | Liga 1 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Malut United 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malut United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malut United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malut United sit 6th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 35 | 58 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
- The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Malut United.
- Where and when is Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya played?
- Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on April 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.