Malženice vs MFK Bytča: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Malženice, Malženice
The Footlab model makes Malženice the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for MFK Bytča. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malženice vs MFK Bytča?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Malženice (1,617) and MFK Bytča (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malženice have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; MFK Bytča have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žilina II(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Šoporňa(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(away) | 1-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(home) | 4-2 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rosina(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pohronie(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter Bratislava(home) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Petržalka(away) | 0-4 | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Malženice score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; MFK Bytča score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malženice | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| MFK Bytča | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malženice sit 13th in 2. liga (4 points from 5 matches) and MFK Bytča sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Malženice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malženice vs MFK Bytča?
- The Footlab model makes Malženice the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for MFK Bytča.
- Where and when is Malženice vs MFK Bytča played?
- Malženice vs MFK Bytča is played on August 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Malženice, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.