Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23: prediction and stats
Diski ChallengeRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria, GT
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Marumo Gallants U23. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,452).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Not enough data to predict the Mamelodi Sundowns U23 lineup.
Marumo Gallants U23
Not enough data to predict the Marumo Gallants U23 lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns U23 have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Marumo Gallants U23 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Polokwane City U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chippa United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 18, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kruger United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs U23(away) | 2-4 | Diski Challenge |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Richards Bay U23(home) | 0-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Stellenbosch U23(home) | 4-5 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs U23(away) | 0-4 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milford FC U23(away) | 4-2 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins, 0 draws, 0 Marumo Gallants U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 2-0 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Marumo Gallants U23 1-3 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Marumo Gallants U23 1-7 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 4-1 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Marumo Gallants U23 1-6 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-1 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23 on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marumo Gallants U23 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Marumo Gallants U23 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 sit 2nd in Diski Challenge (13 points from 6 matches) and Marumo Gallants U23 sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 13 | Marumo Gallants U23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Marumo Gallants U23.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23 played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23 is played on November 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026AmaZulu U23vsSekhukhune United U23
- Nov 28, 2026Chippa United U23vsOrlando Pirates U23
- Nov 28, 2026Golden Arrows U23vsKruger United U23
- Nov 28, 2026Kaizer Chiefs U23vsTS Galaxy U23
- Nov 29, 2026Richards Bay U23vsStellenbosch U23
- Nov 29, 2026Polokwane City U23vsDurban City U23
- Nov 29, 2026Siwelele U23vsMilford FC U23