Match

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23: prediction and stats

Diski ChallengeMatchday 30Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria, GT

Mamelodi Sundowns U23Orlando Pirates U23

The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Orlando Pirates U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Mamelodi Sundowns U23 (1,758) and Orlando Pirates U23 (1,711).

49%24%27%
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 winDrawOrlando Pirates U23 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mamelodi Sundowns U23

Not enough data to predict the Mamelodi Sundowns U23 lineup.

Orlando Pirates U23

Not enough data to predict the Orlando Pirates U23 lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns U23 have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Orlando Pirates U23 have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mamelodi Sundowns U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026AmaZulu U23(away)3-0Diski Challenge
Nov 8, 2026Sekhukhune United U23(away)2-1Diski Challenge
Oct 31, 2026Polokwane City U23(home)1-1Diski Challenge
Oct 25, 2026Chippa United U23(home)3-0Diski Challenge
Oct 18, 2026TS Galaxy U23(away)2-1Diski Challenge
Orlando Pirates U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Richards Bay U23(away)1-3Diski Challenge
Nov 8, 2026Polokwane City U23(away)2-1Diski Challenge
Oct 31, 2026Sekhukhune United U23(home)5-0Diski Challenge
Oct 24, 2026Golden Arrows U23(home)1-0Diski Challenge
Oct 18, 2026Kruger United U23(away)1-1Diski Challenge

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins, 0 draws, 3 Orlando Pirates U23 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Orlando Pirates U23 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns U23Diski Challenge
Nov 1, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns U23 1-5 Orlando Pirates U23Diski Challenge
Apr 19, 2025Orlando Pirates U23 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns U23Diski Challenge
Jan 12, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns U23 2-1 Orlando Pirates U23Diski Challenge
Feb 11, 2024Mamelodi Sundowns U23 1-0 Orlando Pirates U23Diski Challenge
Jan 14, 2024Orlando Pirates U23 4-1 Mamelodi Sundowns U23Diski Challenge

Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates U23 score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mamelodi Sundowns U232.20.977/159/15
Orlando Pirates U231.91.069/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 sit 2nd in Diski Challenge (19 points from 8 matches) and Orlando Pirates U23 sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mamelodi Sundowns U23861120919
4Orlando Pirates U23741216813

A question about Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23?
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Orlando Pirates U23.
Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23 played?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Orlando Pirates U23 is played on May 16, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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