Manisa F.K. vs Bandırmaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, Manisa
The Footlab model makes Manisa F.K. the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bandırmaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Bandırmaspor?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Manisa F.K. (1,822) and Bandırmaspor (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manisa F.K. have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bandırmaspor have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Manisa F.K. win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bandırmaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Manisa F.K. 3-2 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 1-4 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| May 4, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 2-3 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Bandırmaspor 1-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Manisa F.K. 0-2 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Manisa F.K. vs Bandırmaspor on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manisa F.K. sit 3rd in 1. Lig (7 points from 3 matches) and Bandırmaspor sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manisa F.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manisa F.K. vs Bandırmaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Manisa F.K. the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bandırmaspor.
- Where and when is Manisa F.K. vs Bandırmaspor played?
- Manisa F.K. vs Bandırmaspor is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.