Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, Manisa
The Footlab model makes Manisa F.K. the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ümraniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Manisa F.K. (1,832) and Ümraniyespor (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manisa F.K. have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Ümraniyespor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Manisa F.K. win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ümraniyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | Manisa F.K. 1-0 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Ümraniyespor 2-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2025 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 0-3 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Manisa F.K. 3-2 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ümraniyespor 3-2 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor on Jan 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ümraniyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ümraniyespor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manisa F.K. sit 3rd in 1. Lig (7 points from 3 matches) and Ümraniyespor sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manisa F.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Manisa F.K. the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ümraniyespor.
- Where and when is Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor played?
- Manisa F.K. vs Ümraniyespor is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.