Manresa vs Ebro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Congost, Manresa
The Footlab AI model makes Manresa the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ebro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manresa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manresa vs Ebro?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Manresa (1,865) and Ebro (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manresa vs Ebro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manresa
Not enough data to predict the Manresa lineup.
Ebro
Not enough data to predict the Ebro lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manresa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ebro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Calamocha(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Manresa wins, 0 draws, 0 Ebro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Ebro 1-2 Manresa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Manresa 2-1 Ebro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Manresa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebro score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manresa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ebro | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manresa sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (10 points from 6 matches) and Ebro sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ebro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Manresa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Manresa vs Ebro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manresa vs Ebro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manresa the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ebro.
- Where and when is Manresa vs Ebro played?
- Manresa vs Ebro is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Congost, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.