Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Luton played?

Mansfield Town vs Luton is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mansfield Town vs Luton: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire

Mansfield Town

Luton

The Footlab model makes Luton the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Luton?

Luton starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,835).

Mansfield Town win29 %

Draw24 %

Luton win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luton have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mansfield Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Peterborough(away)	1-2	League One
Aug 19, 2026	Manchester City U21(home)	1-4	EFL Trophy
Aug 15, 2026	Doncaster(home)	2-1	League One
Aug 9, 2026	Sheffield Utd(home)	0-3	League Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Derby(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Luton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Notts County(home)	2-2	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Reading(away)	4-3	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Gillingham(away)	3-0	League Cup
Aug 2, 2026	GO Ahead Eagles(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Al Kholood(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mansfield Town win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Luton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Mansfield Town 2-2 Luton	League One
Oct 18, 2025	Luton 0-2 Mansfield Town	League One
Apr 2, 2018	Luton 2-1 Mansfield Town	League Two
Aug 26, 2017	Mansfield Town 2-2 Luton	League Two
Apr 17, 2017	Mansfield Town 1-1 Luton	League Two
Oct 22, 2016	Luton 1-1 Mansfield Town	League Two

Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Luton on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mansfield Town	1.7	1.7	5	9/15	11/15
Luton	2.5	1.1	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mansfield Town sit 11th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Luton sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Luton	2	1	1	0	6	5	4
11	Mansfield Town	2	1	0	1	3	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Luton?: The Footlab model makes Luton the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Mansfield Town.
Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Luton played?: Mansfield Town vs Luton is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.