Marcílio Dias vs Joinville: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 4Kick-off on May 10, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Marcílio Dias won 1-0 on May 10, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′MilaniMarcílio Dias
- 85′João MafraJoinville
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Joinville have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Barra(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Guarany de Bagé(away) | 3-3 | Serie D |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Sao Jose(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Santa Catarina(away) | 0-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Figueirense(home) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Azuriz(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Guarany de Bagé(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-2 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Marcílio Dias win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Joinville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | Joinville 1-1 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Joinville 2-2 Marcílio Dias | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Joinville 2-3 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Marcílio Dias 2-1 Joinville | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Joinville 0-0 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Marcílio Dias 3-0 Joinville | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Joinville vs Marcílio Dias on Feb 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Joinville | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marcílio Dias sit 2nd in Serie D (16 points from 10 matches) and Joinville sit 5th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marcílio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy