Marcílio Dias vs Santa Catarina: result 3-2 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 18, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Santa Catarina?
Marcílio Dias won 3-2 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′Lucas CostaMarcílio Dias
- 13′GaldinoSanta Catarina
- 45′RenanSanta Catarina
- 47′Ze EduardoMarcílio Dias
- 90′Felipe BaianoMarcílio Dias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Santa Catarina have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Barra(home) | 6-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Figueirense(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Avai(away) | 5-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Avai(home) | 3-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Figueirense(home) | 1-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Brusque(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Concórdia(away) | 2-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 3-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Concórdia(home) | 4-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marcílio Dias win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Santa Catarina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Santa Catarina 2-0 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Santa Catarina 2-1 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Catarina score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Catarina | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy