Mariglianese vs Casertana: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2021 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Marigliano, Marigliano
Full time
What was the result of Mariglianese vs Casertana?
Mariglianese won 4-1 on November 28, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 44′?Mariglianese
- 48′?Mariglianese
- 57′?Mariglianese
- 66′?Casertana
- 88′?Mariglianese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Mariglianese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Casertana have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Gravina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Nardò(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Casarano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Bisceglie(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | Bitonto(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Lavello(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Virtus Matino(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Nocerina(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Mariglianese score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Casertana score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariglianese | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/13 | 5/13 |
| Casertana | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy