Marília vs Desportivo Brasil: result 1-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 14Kick-off on October 2, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs Desportivo Brasil?
Marília and Desportivo Brasil drew 1-1 on October 2, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 34′Moisés LucasMarília
- 58′Guilherme MadrugaDesportivo Brasil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Desportivo Brasil have 4, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2020 | Capivariano(away) | 1-4 | Paulista - A3 |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Grêmio Osasco(home) | 5-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Comercial(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Nacional SP(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Rio Preto(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2020 | Paulista(home) | 2-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Sep 18, 2020 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Barretos(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Rio Preto(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Noroeste(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Desportivo Brasil score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Desportivo Brasil | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marília sit 2nd in Paulista - A3 (32 points from 15 matches) and Desportivo Brasil sit 15th (8 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 15 | Desportivo Brasil | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy