Marília vs EC São Bernardo: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A31st Phase - 9Kick-off on February 18, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs EC São Bernardo?
Marília won 1-0 on February 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 81′Erik BessaMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; EC São Bernardo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Votuporanguense(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Barretos(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Capivariano(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RB Brasil(away) | 3-4 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Gremio Osasco Audax(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Gremio Osasco Audax(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Bandeirante SP(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Desportivo Brasil(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Votuporanguense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Marília win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 EC São Bernardo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Marília 1-0 EC São Bernardo | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | EC São Bernardo 2-0 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | EC São Bernardo 1-1 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Marília 1-0 EC São Bernardo | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Marília vs EC São Bernardo on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; EC São Bernardo score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| EC São Bernardo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marília sit 2nd in Paulista - A3 (32 points from 15 matches) and EC São Bernardo sit 7th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 7 | EC São Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy