Marília vs Itapirense: result 3-0 and analysis
Paulista - A31st Phase - 15Kick-off on March 18, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs Itapirense?
Marília won 3-0 on March 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′ViniciusMarília (o.g.)
- 45′Erik BessaMarília
- 85′MadalenaMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Itapirense have 4, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 8, 2023 | São José EC(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Matonense(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Sertãozinho(away) | 3-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | USAC(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 8, 2023 | Desportivo Brasil(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Bandeirante SP(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 1, 2023 | RB Brasil(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sertãozinho(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Itapirense score 0.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Itapirense | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/14 | 2/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marília sit 2nd in Paulista - A3 (32 points from 15 matches) and Itapirense sit 14th (9 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy