Marília vs Noroeste: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa PaulistaQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 18, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs Noroeste?
Marília won 1-0 on September 18, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 83′Erik BessaMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Noroeste have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2022 | Noroeste(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 3-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Comercial(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Sertãozinho(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Noroeste(home) | 3-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2022 | Marília(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Comercial(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Sertãozinho(away) | 3-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Marília(away) | 2-3 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marília win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Noroeste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2022 | Noroeste 1-1 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Marília 3-2 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Noroeste 0-2 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Noroeste 0-0 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Marília 0-1 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Noroeste 0-0 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Noroeste score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Noroeste | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy