Marília vs XV de Piracicaba: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa PaulistaSemi-finalsKick-off on December 13, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs XV de Piracicaba?
Marília won 3-1 on December 13, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 28′Gustavo NescauMarília
- 32′JonathanXV de Piracicaba
- 48′Gustavo NescauMarília (pen.)
- 83′GeninhoMarília
Official lineup for Marília vs XV de Piracicaba
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Marília
- OOrlando Júnior
- GGustavo Nescau
- JJosé Luiz dos Santos Júnior
- LLeo Couto
- FFelipe Cordeiro
- GGeninho
- DDiogo
- DDenis Leite
- AArthur
- LLuan
- IIgor
XV de Piracicaba
- FFabinho
- GGuilherme Garré
- VVictor Luis Romano
- JJája Silva
- GGustavo Hebling
- FFraga
- FFelipe Benedetti
- DDouglas Marques dos Santos
- JJonathan
- RRenan Dutra
- VVitor Prada
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; XV de Piracicaba have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2020 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 3-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Velo Clube(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2020 | Comercial(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Comercial(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Atibaia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Atibaia(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Primavera SP(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; XV de Piracicaba score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| XV de Piracicaba | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy