Marília vs XV de Piracicaba: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa PaulistaSemi-finalsKick-off on December 13, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs XV de Piracicaba?
Marília won 3-1 on December 13, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 28′Gustavo NescauMarília
- 32′JonathanXV de Piracicaba
- 48′Gustavo NescauMarília (pen.)
- 83′GeninhoMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; XV de Piracicaba have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2020 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 3-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Velo Clube(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2020 | Comercial(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Comercial(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Atibaia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Atibaia(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Primavera SP(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; XV de Piracicaba score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| XV de Piracicaba | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy