Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)
The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Marítimo U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estoril U23 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23?
Estoril U23 starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,556).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marítimo U23
Not enough data to predict the Marítimo U23 lineup.
Estoril U23
Not enough data to predict the Estoril U23 lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marítimo U23 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Estoril U23 have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23(away) | 3-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Benfica U23(home) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(home) | 0-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Vizela U23(away) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gil Vicente U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP U23(home) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Torreense U23(away) | 3-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Academico Viseu U23(away) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Famalicão U23(home) | 4-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Marítimo U23 wins, 0 draws, 6 Estoril U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Marítimo U23 1-2 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Estoril U23 2-0 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| May 3, 2022 | Estoril U23 2-1 Marítimo U23 | Taça Revelação U23 |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Estoril U23 4-1 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Marítimo U23 0-1 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Mar 1, 2021 | Estoril U23 3-1 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23 on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marítimo U23 score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril U23 score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marítimo U23 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Estoril U23 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marítimo U23 sit 18th in Liga Revelação U23 (6 points from 8 matches) and Estoril U23 sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Estoril U23 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 18 | Marítimo U23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Marítimo U23.
- Where and when is Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23 played?
- Marítimo U23 vs Estoril U23 is played on December 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Imaculada Conceição, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 15, 2026Benfica U23vsPortimonense U23
- Dec 15, 2026Leixões U23vsSanta Clara U23
- Dec 15, 2026Sporting CP U23vsFamalicão U23
- Dec 15, 2026Farense U23vsFelgueiras U23
- Dec 15, 2026Vizela U23vsMoreirense U23
- Dec 15, 2026Estrela U23vsGil Vicente U23
- Dec 15, 2026Academico Viseu U23vsRio Ave U23
- Dec 15, 2026União Leiria U23vsSporting Braga U23