Marseille vs Le Havre: result 3-1 and analysis
Coupe de France16th FinalsKick-off on January 22, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Le Havre?
Marseille won 3-1 on January 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 5′Ryan MendesLe Havre
- 64′BrandãoMarseille
- 104′M. AmalfitanoMarseille
- 120′L. RémyMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Le Havre have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2012 | Lille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2012 | Caen(away) | 3-0 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Jan 7, 2012 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 5-0 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 20, 2011 | Nancy(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | Bastia(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 13, 2012 | Lens(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 7, 2012 | Lorient(home) | 4-3 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 20, 2011 | Reims(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Monaco(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Le Havre score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Le Havre | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy