Marseille vs Napoli: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2013 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Napoli?
Napoli won 1-2 on October 22, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 42′José CallejónNapoli
- 67′D. ZapataNapoli
- 86′A. AyewMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Napoli have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2013 | Nice(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Lorient(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2013 | AS Roma(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Livorno(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Arsenal(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Genoa(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Sassuolo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Napoli | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Napoli sit 30th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy