Marseille vs Qarabag: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueKnockout Round Play-offsKick-off on February 17, 2022 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Qarabag?
Marseille won 3-1 on February 17, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 41′A. MilikMarseille
- 44′A. MilikMarseille
- 85′KadyQarabag
- 90′D. PayetMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | Metz(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Nice(away) | 1-4 | Coupe de France |
| Feb 4, 2022 | Angers(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Lyon(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Montpellier(home) | 1-1 | Coupe de France |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2022 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy