Marseille vs Qarabag: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueKnockout Round Play-offsKick-off on February 17, 2022 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Qarabag?
Marseille won 3-1 on February 17, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 41′A. MilikMarseille
- 44′A. MilikMarseille
- 85′KadyQarabag
- 90′D. PayetMarseille
Official lineup for Marseille vs Qarabag
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Marseille
4-3-3- 20K. de La Fuente
- 9A. Milik
- 22P. Gueye
- 17C. Ünder
- 8Gerson
- 5L. Balerdi
- 4B. Kamara
- 29Pol Lirola
- 14Luan Peres
- 3Álvaro González
- 30S. Mandanda
Qarabag
4-2-3-1- 25I. Wadji
- 27T. Bayramov
- 20Kady
- 6Patrick Andrade
- 10A. Zoubir
- 19F. Ozobić
- 81K. Medina
- 2Q. Qarayev
- 5M. Medvedev
- 29M. Vešović
- 23L. Gugeshashvili
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | Metz(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Nice(away) | 1-4 | Coupe de France |
| Feb 4, 2022 | Angers(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Lyon(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Montpellier(home) | 1-1 | Coupe de France |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2022 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy