Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana: result 1-4 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador, Matagalpa
Full time
What was the result of Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?
Rancho Santana won 1-4 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′Yader ZamoraRancho Santana
- 53′L. BonillaRancho Santana
- 62′Edgar CastilloRancho Santana
- 68′Taufic GuarchRancho Santana
- 86′A. G. VelasquezMatagalpa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matagalpa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Rancho Santana have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | H&H Export(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Estelí(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Walter Ferretti(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Managua(home) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Jalapa(away) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Diriangén(home) | 1-8 | Primera Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Real Madriz(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Jalapa(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | UNAN Managua(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | H&H Export(home) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Matagalpa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rancho Santana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | Rancho Santana 1-2 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Rancho Santana 1-1 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Matagalpa 2-1 Rancho Santana | Primera Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Matagalpa 1-0 Rancho Santana | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Rancho Santana 1-0 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Rancho Santana vs Matagalpa on Jul 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Matagalpa score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rancho Santana score 1.1 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matagalpa | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Rancho Santana | 1.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matagalpa sit 8th in Primera Division (3 points from 5 matches) and Rancho Santana sit 10th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matagalpa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 10 | Rancho Santana | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy