Matagalpa vs Real Estelí: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 18Kick-off on November 23, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador, Matagalpa
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What was the result of Matagalpa vs Real Estelí?
Matagalpa won 1-0 on November 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 42′625093Matagalpa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Matagalpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Estelí have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | Walter Ferretti(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Managua(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Jalapa(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Diriangén(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 14, 2025 | UNAN Managua(home) | 4-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | H&H Export(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Walter Ferretti(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Diriangén(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Managua(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Jalapa(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Matagalpa win, 2 draws, 3 Real Estelí wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Estelí 2-1 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Real Estelí 1-1 Matagalpa | Copa Nicaragua |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Matagalpa 2-2 Real Estelí | Copa Nicaragua |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Matagalpa 2-4 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Real Estelí 2-0 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Matagalpa 4-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Real Estelí vs Matagalpa on Sep 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Matagalpa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matagalpa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Real Estelí | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Matagalpa sit 10th in Primera Division (10 points from 16 matches) and Real Estelí sit 3rd (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Estelí | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 31 |
| 10 | Matagalpa | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 10 |
A question about Matagalpa vs Real Estelí?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy