Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, Mátészalka
The Footlab model makes Mátészalka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Diósgyőr II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Mátészalka (1,309) and Diósgyőr II (1,395).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mátészalka have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Diósgyőr II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 0-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | FC Hatvan(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mátészalka win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Diósgyőr II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Mátészalka 2-3 Diósgyőr II | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Diósgyőr II 2-1 Mátészalka | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mátészalka score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Diósgyőr II score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mátészalka | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Diósgyőr II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mátészalka sit 6th in NB III - Northeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Diósgyőr II sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mátészalka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Diósgyőr II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II?
- The Footlab model makes Mátészalka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Diósgyőr II.
- Where and when is Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II played?
- Mátészalka vs Diósgyőr II is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Mátészalkai Városi sporttelep, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.