Maya vs SONABEL: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes SONABEL the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Maya. The most likely score is 0-0. If SONABEL wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maya vs SONABEL?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Maya (1,536) and SONABEL (1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maya vs SONABEL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maya
Not enough data to predict the Maya lineup.
SONABEL
Not enough data to predict the SONABEL lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Maya have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats; SONABEL have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rahimo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FocuSport(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Douanes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CFFEB(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ASFB(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rahimo(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Maya score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; SONABEL score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
| SONABEL | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maya sit 13th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and SONABEL sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SONABEL | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Maya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Maya vs SONABEL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maya vs SONABEL?
- The Footlab AI model makes SONABEL the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Maya.
- Where and when is Maya vs SONABEL played?
- Maya vs SONABEL is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.