Mazatlán vs Toluca: result 1-3 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 5Kick-off on January 5, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlán
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What was the result of Mazatlán vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-3 on January 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′A. VegaToluca
- 65′L. AmarillaMazatlán
- 72′A. BriseñoToluca
- 85′A. DuarteToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazatlán have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Toluca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Tepatitlán(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Leon(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-5 | Liga MX |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Club America(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Leon(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mazatlán win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2024 | Toluca 3-0 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazatlán score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlán | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy