Mazatlán vs Toluca: result 1-3 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 5Kick-off on January 5, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlán
Full time
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-3 on January 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′A. VegaToluca
- 65′L. AmarillaMazatlán
- 72′A. BriseñoToluca
- 85′A. DuarteToluca
Official lineup for Mazatlán vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mazatlán
- 7L. Amarilla
- 10N. Benedetti
- 11Y. Bárcenas
- 16J. Esquivel
- 18A. Torres
- 22R. Pizarro
- 23J. Sierra
- 3G. Sánchez
- 4J. Díaz
- 5F. Almada
- 13H. González
Toluca
- 25A. Vega
- 26Paulinho
- 7J. Domínguez
- 10J. Angulo
- 14M. Ruiz
- 126V. Arteaga
- 4B. Méndez
- 13Luan
- 17B. García
- 20J. Gallardo
- 1Tiago Volpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazatlán have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Toluca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Tepatitlán(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Leon(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-5 | Liga MX |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Club America(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Leon(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mazatlán win, 1 draw, 4 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2024 | Toluca 3-0 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazatlán score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlán | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mazatlán vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy