Mbarara City vs Calvary: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Calvary?
Mbarara City won 1-0 on February 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′639040Mbarara City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Calvary have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | URA(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2026 | URA(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SC Villa(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mbarara City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Calvary win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Calvary 1-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Calvary vs Mbarara City on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calvary score 0.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Calvary | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 12th in Premier League (27 points from 30 matches) and Calvary sit 15th (21 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 27 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 39 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy