Mbarara City vs UPDF: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 17, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs UPDF?
UPDF won 0-1 on February 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′?UPDF (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; UPDF have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | KCCA(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Wakiso Giants(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2024 | Lugazi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Kitara(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Express(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Bright Stars(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Mbale Heroes(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mbarara City wins, 2 draws, 4 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | UPDF 2-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Mbarara City 0-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | UPDF 1-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 8, 2022 | Mbarara City 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | UPDF 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UPDF | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 13th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and UPDF sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Mbarara City vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy