Mbarara City vs UPDF: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 17, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
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What was the result of Mbarara City vs UPDF?
UPDF won 0-1 on February 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′?UPDF (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; UPDF have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | KCCA(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Wakiso Giants(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2024 | Lugazi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Kitara(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Express(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Bright Stars(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Mbale Heroes(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mbarara City win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 UPDF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | UPDF 2-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Mbarara City 0-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | UPDF 1-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 8, 2022 | Mbarara City 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | UPDF 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UPDF | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 12th in Premier League (27 points from 30 matches) and UPDF sit 14th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 27 |
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy