Mbarara City vs UPDF: result 1-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs UPDF?
UPDF won 1-2 on May 8, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 13′?UPDF
- 19′?Mbarara City
- 30′?UPDF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; UPDF have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | Arua Hill(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2022 | SC Villa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2022 | Police(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Vipers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2022 | BUL(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | URA(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Tooro United(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2022 | Busoga United(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2022 | KCCA(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Gaddafi(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mbarara City win, 0 draws, 3 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | UPDF 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2018 | UPDF 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Mbarara City 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UPDF | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 13th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and UPDF sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Mbarara City vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy