Mbarara City vs URA: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 17, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs URA?
Mbarara City won 1-0 on December 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 61′Henry KitegenyiMbarara City (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; URA have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Calvary(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | KCCA(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Buhimba Saints(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Express(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | SC Villa(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Kitara(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Buhimba Saints(home) | 7-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mbarara City wins, 3 draws, 3 URA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | Mbarara City 0-2 URA | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | URA 1-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 7, 2024 | Mbarara City 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | URA 3-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2022 | Mbarara City 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2021 | URA 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; URA score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| URA | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 13th in Premier League (8 points from 8 matches) and URA sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | URA | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Mbarara City vs URA?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy