MCF vs Naivas: result 2-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 17, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
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What was the result of MCF vs Naivas?
MCF won 2-1 on May 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 58′?Naivas
- 73′?MCF
- 74′?MCF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MCF have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Naivas have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Fortune Sacco(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 4, 2025 | MOFA(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | SamWest Blackboots(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Nairobi United(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Darajani Gogo(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Coastal Heroes(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Luanda Villa(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mulembe United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MCF wins, 0 draws, 4 Naivas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Naivas 1-0 MCF | Super League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Naivas 1-0 MCF | Super League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | MCF 0-1 Naivas | Super League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | MCF 0-2 Naivas | Super League |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Naivas 0-1 MCF | Super League |
| May 22, 2022 | MCF 1-0 Naivas | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
MCF score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naivas score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCF | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Naivas | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MCF sit 18th in Super League (34 points from 38 matches) and Naivas sit 7th (61 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Naivas | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47 | 30 | 61 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 42 | 34 |
A question about MCF vs Naivas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy