Mechelen II vs Sparta Petegem: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Het Breeven, Bornem
The Footlab model makes Mechelen II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Petegem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mechelen II vs Sparta Petegem?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Mechelen II (1,795) and Sparta Petegem (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mechelen II have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Petegem have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torhout(away) | 5-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mechelen II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sparta Petegem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sparta Petegem 0-1 Mechelen II | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Mechelen II 0-3 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Petegem vs Mechelen II on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mechelen II score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen II | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mechelen II sit 13th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (35 points from 30 matches) and Sparta Petegem sit 7th (41 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
| 13 | Mechelen II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 58 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mechelen II vs Sparta Petegem?
- The Footlab model makes Mechelen II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Petegem.
- Where and when is Mechelen II vs Sparta Petegem played?
- Mechelen II vs Sparta Petegem is played on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Het Breeven, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.