Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Tennis Borussia: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Lankow, Schwerin
The Footlab model makes Mecklenburg Schwerin the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Tennis Borussia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Tennis Borussia?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Mecklenburg Schwerin (1,623) and Tennis Borussia (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Tennis Borussia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makkabi(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Makkabi(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 30, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 15, 2026 | Croatia Berlin(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 10, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tennis Borussia score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg Schwerin | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Tennis Borussia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Tennis Borussia sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Tennis Borussia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Tennis Borussia?
- The Footlab model makes Mecklenburg Schwerin the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Tennis Borussia.
- Where and when is Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Tennis Borussia played?
- Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Tennis Borussia is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Lankow, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.