Match

Medeama vs Karela: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa

MedeamaKarela

The Footlab AI model makes Medeama the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Karela. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Medeama vs Karela?

Medeama starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,591).

69%21%10%
Medeama winDrawKarela win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Medeama vs Karela

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Medeama

4-3-3
  1. 33K. Nkrumah
  2. 20E. Annor
  3. 19K. Braye
  1. 8E. Dogli
  2. 23P. Owusu
  3. 32P. Owusu
  1. 4Y. Mubarik
  2. 12Abdul-Raman Yaya
  3. 6E. Adade
  4. 37I. Doumbia
  1. 1Y. Saeed

Karela

4-3-3
  1. 11E. Antwi Konadu
  2. 29Mohammed Mankuyeli
  3. 9D. Holland
  1. 14L. Devitt
  2. 13M. Abubakar
  3. 29M. A. Alhassan
  1. 3F. Gariba
  2. 30A. Ali
  3. 24Edmund Afurapoe
  4. 2F. Mohammed
  1. 16K. Amechi

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Karela have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Medeama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Heart of Lions(home)3-1Premier League
Oct 4, 2026Debibi United(away)1-0Premier League
Sep 30, 2026Port City(home)1-0Premier League
Sep 27, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)4-1Premier League
Sep 23, 2026Dreams(away)2-2Premier League
Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Dreams(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 1, 2026Asante Kotoko(away)0-1Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Hearts of Oak(home)1-0Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Aduana Stars(away)1-2Premier League
Sep 13, 2026Bechem United(home)3-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Medeama wins, 1 draw, 3 Karela wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Medeama 3-1 KarelaPremier League
Sep 28, 2025Karela 1-0 MedeamaPremier League
May 18, 2025Karela 3-1 MedeamaPremier League
Jan 1, 2025Medeama 1-0 KarelaPremier League
Jun 16, 2024Medeama 0-1 KarelaPremier League
Dec 30, 2023Karela 0-0 MedeamaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Karela on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Medeama score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Medeama1.81.4311/1510/15
Karela0.91.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Medeama sit 1st in Premier League (14 points from 6 matches) and Karela sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Medeama642012514
8Karela6303779

A question about Medeama vs Karela?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Karela?
The Footlab AI model makes Medeama the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for Karela.
Where and when is Medeama vs Karela played?
Medeama vs Karela is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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