Match

Medeama vs Karela: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa

MedeamaKarela

The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Karela. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Medeama vs Karela?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Medeama (1,661) and Karela (1,569).

Medeama win72 %
Draw19 %
Karela win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Medeama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026ASEC Mimosas(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SOA(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)2-4Premier League
May 17, 2026Heart of Lions(home)5-2Premier League
Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Young Apostles(home)2-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Medeama win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Karela win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Medeama 3-1 KarelaPremier League
Sep 28, 2025Karela 1-0 MedeamaPremier League
May 18, 2025Karela 3-1 MedeamaPremier League
Jan 1, 2025Medeama 1-0 KarelaPremier League
Jun 16, 2024Medeama 0-1 KarelaPremier League
Dec 30, 2023Karela 0-0 MedeamaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Karela on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Medeama2.01.3510/1511/15
Karela0.90.983/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Medeama sit 1st in Premier League (62 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Medeama3417116522862
9Karela34131011323349

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Karela?
The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Karela.
Where and when is Medeama vs Karela played?
Medeama vs Karela is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Medeama and Karela

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