Melaka vs Johor Darul Takzim FC: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadium Hang Jebat, Melaka
The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Melaka. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melaka vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
Johor Darul Takzim FC is a heavy favourite: 2,058 Elo points against 1,426, a 632-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melaka have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Johor Darul Takzim FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Terengganu(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Imigresen(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 9, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Negeri Sembilan(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC(home) | 9-0 | Super League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Melaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Johor Darul Takzim FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Melaka 1-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Super League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Melaka 1-3 Johor Darul Takzim FC | Malaysia Cup |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 5-0 Melaka | Malaysia Cup |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Johor Darul Takzim FC 7-1 Melaka | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Melaka vs Johor Darul Takzim FC on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melaka score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Johor Darul Takzim FC score 3.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melaka | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melaka sit 12th in Super League (0 points from 1 matches) and Johor Darul Takzim FC sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Melaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melaka vs Johor Darul Takzim FC?
- The Footlab model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Melaka.
- Where and when is Melaka vs Johor Darul Takzim FC played?
- Melaka vs Johor Darul Takzim FC is played on December 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium Hang Jebat, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.