Mendiola vs Kaya: prediction and stats
PFLGroup stageKick-off on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Aboitiz Pitch, Lipa
The Footlab AI model makes Kaya the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Mendiola. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,211 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mendiola vs Kaya?
Kaya is a heavy favourite: 1,605 Elo points against 1,132, a 473-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mendiola vs Kaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mendiola
Not enough data to predict the Mendiola lineup.
Kaya
Not enough data to predict the Kaya lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mendiola have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kaya have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stallion(away) | 3-2 | PFL |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 0-3 | PFL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tuloy(away) | 5-2 | PFL |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azkals(away) | 1-1 | PFL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Davao Aguilas(home) | 0-4 | PFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Stallion(home) | 1-1 | PFL |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manila Digger(home) | 0-1 | PFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Philippine Army(home) | 5-0 | PFL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tuloy(away) | 3-0 | PFL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Azkals(away) | 3-1 | PFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mendiola wins, 0 draws, 6 Kaya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mendiola 0-3 Kaya | PFL |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kaya 8-0 Mendiola | PFL |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mendiola 2-6 Kaya | PFL |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Kaya 9-1 Mendiola | PFL |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Kaya 9-1 Mendiola | PFL |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Kaya 6-1 Mendiola | PFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Mendiola score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kaya score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mendiola | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Kaya | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mendiola sit 4th in PFL (11 points from 24 matches) and Kaya sit 3rd (48 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KayaPhilippines Football League, Championship Round | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 76 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | MendiolaPhilippines Football League, Classification Round | 24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 110 | 11 |
A question about Mendiola vs Kaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mendiola vs Kaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaya the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Mendiola.
- Where and when is Mendiola vs Kaya played?
- Mendiola vs Kaya is played on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Aboitiz Pitch, in the PFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.