Mensajero vs Guadalajara: result 4-1 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 7, 2024 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Silvestre Carrillo, Santa Cruz de la Palma (La Palma)
Full time
What was the result of Mensajero vs Guadalajara?
Mensajero won 4-1 on January 7, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 23′Diego MorcilloGuadalajara
- 27′Eduardo SallesMensajero
- 44′M. DialloMensajero
- 55′Eduardo SallesMensajero
- 83′Javi MisffutMensajero
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mensajero have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Guadalajara have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | Unión Adarve(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Badajoz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Getafe II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Villanovense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | Getafe II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Villanovense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Navalcarnero(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Numancia(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Illescas(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mensajero score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mensajero | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 60 | 22 | 74 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy