Mensajero vs UD San Fernando: result 1-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offsPromotion Play-offs - 1st RoundKick-off on May 17, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Silvestre Carrillo, Santa Cruz de la Palma (La Palma)
Full time
What was the result of Mensajero vs UD San Fernando?
Mensajero and UD San Fernando drew 1-1 on May 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 54′Cristian AbreuMensajero
- 68′Omar VázquezUD San Fernando
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mensajero have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; UD San Fernando have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Lanzarote(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | UD San Fernando(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Unión Viera(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Santa Úrsula(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Buzanada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Marino(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Mensajero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Lanzarote(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mensajero win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 UD San Fernando win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Mensajero 1-1 UD San Fernando | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UD San Fernando 0-0 Mensajero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Mensajero 1-0 UD San Fernando | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | UD San Fernando 1-1 Mensajero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Mensajero 3-1 UD San Fernando | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | UD San Fernando 1-2 Mensajero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Mensajero vs UD San Fernando on Apr 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mensajero score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Fernando score 1.7 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mensajero | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| UD San Fernando | 1.7 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy