Menzel Bourguiba vs EGS Gafsa: result 1-0 and analysis
Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on November 12, 2017 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stade Arbi Farfra, Menzel Bouzelfa
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What was the result of Menzel Bourguiba vs EGS Gafsa?
Menzel Bourguiba won 1-0 on November 12, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Menzel Bourguiba have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat; EGS Gafsa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | CS Bembla(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Ariana(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2016 | JS Kairouanaise(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Avenir El Batan(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Olympique du Kef(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2016 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 9, 2016 | ES Sahel(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Menzel Bourguiba score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 2; EGS Gafsa score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menzel Bourguiba | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| EGS Gafsa | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy