Merstham vs East Grinstead Town: result 2-0 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on October 27, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Moatside Stadium, Merstham, Surrey
Full time
What was the result of Merstham vs East Grinstead Town?
Merstham won 2-0 on October 27, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merstham have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; East Grinstead Town have 3, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2017 | Sittingbourne(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Sittingbourne(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 15, 2016 | Hythe Town(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Oxford United(home) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Great Wakering Rovers(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Lewes(home) | 2-4 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Phoenix Sports(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Three Bridges(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Bognor Regis Town(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Merstham score 1.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; East Grinstead Town score 1.4 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merstham | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| East Grinstead Town | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/12 | 9/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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