Messina vs Avellino: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 6Kick-off on October 1, 2023 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
Full time
What was the result of Messina vs Avellino?
Messina won 1-0 on October 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 29′V. PlesciaMessina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Messina have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Avellino have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Turris(home) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| May 13, 2023 | Gelbison(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2023 | Gelbison(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | SS Monopoli(home) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Sorrento(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Foggia(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Juve Stabia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Latina(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Messina win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Avellino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | Messina 2-0 Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Avellino 2-1 Messina | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Avellino 1-1 Messina | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Messina 0-1 Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Messina score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messina | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Avellino | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy