Mestre vs Brian Lignano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre
The Footlab model makes Brian Lignano the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mestre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mestre vs Brian Lignano?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Mestre (1,766) and Brian Lignano (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Brian Lignano have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Legnago Salus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Adriese(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Portogruaro(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Mestre(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mestre win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brian Lignano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Mestre 1-4 Brian Lignano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Brian Lignano 1-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Mestre 1-0 Brian Lignano | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Brian Lignano 0-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Mestre 1-2 Brian Lignano | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Mestre vs Brian Lignano on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mestre score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brian Lignano score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Brian Lignano | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mestre sit 6th in Serie D - Girone C (55 points from 34 matches) and Brian Lignano sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brian Lignano | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Mestre | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Brian Lignano?
- The Footlab model makes Brian Lignano the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mestre.
- Where and when is Mestre vs Brian Lignano played?
- Mestre vs Brian Lignano is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.